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Only four teams are left in the playoffs to contest the Larry O’Brien
Trophy that goes to this year’s National Basketball Association
(NBA) champion.
For sure, there will be a new champion. That’s because
2008 titlist Boston has been eliminated from title contention, having
dropped a 4-3 decision to Orlando in the East semifinal series.
In a pair of best-of-seven conference final series,
regular-season leader Cleveland takes on Orlando for the East title
and the LA Lakers clash with Denver for the West crown.
The Cavaliers and Lakers are favored with home-court
advantages over their respective foes.
Denver, however, could give the Lakers a huge headache
as the Mile High City outfit appears to be the best (and most consistent)
team out West at this time, having posted an 8-2 record during the
first two rounds of the playoffs, including a pair of 4-1 triumphs
over New Orleans and Dallas. In the twin defeats, both on the road,
the club lost by just two points each time.
Denver also has won 16 straight home games (including
6-0 in the playoffs) at the Pepsi Center going into the conference
finals. The Nuggets, though, were beaten, 3-1, by the Lakers in
their head-to-head regular battles.
Cleveland, which qualified for the NBA Finals in
2007 for the first time in franchise history, is the slight favorite
to snare its first-ever NBA crown followed a failed bid against
San Antonio two years ago.
The Cavaliers are much-focused and have already shown
a killer instinct this early, methodically crushing the opposition
in the playoffs’ first two rounds with a suffocating defense that
is built around the all-around brilliance of newly-crowned NBA Most
Valuable Player LeBron James.
However, skeptics feel that the Wine City squad has
yet to be tested as its earlier victories were against playoff also-rans.
Owner of a league-leading 66-16 card during the regular
wars to earn home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, the Cavaliers
scored 4 –0 sweeps over Detroit and Atlanta in the playoffs’ first
two rounds and put together eight straight double-figure victories
to set a new NBA playoff mark. Their average winning margin was
nearly 17 points a game.
James is doing it all with per-game norms of 32.9
points (on a .532 field-goal clip), 9.8 rebounds, 6.8 assists and
2.0 steals in the playoffs. His supporting cast (or the LeBrons)
includes All-Star guard Mo Williams (14.8 ppg), Delonte West (13.3
ppg), Lithuanian center Zydrunas Ilgauskas (10.8 ppg, 6.6 rpg) and
rugged Brazilian power forward Anderson Varejao (5.6 ppg, 7.3 rpg).
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Here’s our take on the Eastern and Western final
series (playoff statistics in parentheses):
EAST
1-Cleveland (66-16) vs. 3-Orlando (59-23)
Forecast – Cavaliers over Magic, 4-2
For the first time in the ongoing playoffs, Cleveland
will be tested against a legitimate championship contender. There
won’t be a four-game sweep here, but James and his friends should
be able to handle Orlando.
The Magic whipped Philadelphia, 4-2, in their opening
playoff series and deposed 2008 champion Boston via the maximum
seven games during the second round to secure their first conference
finals assignment since 1996.
There’s an upbeat feeling in Magic Kingdom because
of the Superman-like dominance of All-Star center Dwight Howard
(19.6 ppg, 16.6 rpg, 2.8 bpg, .609 FG pct.).
Orlando needs bookend forwards Rashard Lewis (19.9
ppg) and Hedo Turkoglu (14.2 ppg) to provide consistent offense
from the outside to lighten Howard’s load inside the paint. The
Magic’s cat-quick court general Rafer Alston (12.8 ppg, 4.7 apg)
and his Cavs counterpart Mo Williams will likely cancel each other
out.
LeBron James’ multi-faceted game presents a huge
problem for Orlando, but the Magic won’t go away without a stiff
challenge.
WEST
1-LA Lakers (65-17) vs. 2-Denver Nuggets (54-28)
Forecast – Lakers over Nuggets, 4-3
After easily disposing of Utah, 4-1, in the first
round, the off-and-on Lakers were pushed to the limit by Houston
in the second round, squeaking past a spunky Rockets unit that did
not have the injured Yao Ming in the final four games of their seven-game
thriller.
The Lakers have not shown any sense of urgency to
finish off their foes as swiftly as possible and feel that home-court
advantage throughout the Western playoffs is all they’ll need to
reach the NBA Finals for the second consecutive year.
Probably that is what will happen – another Game
Seven against Denver at the Staples Center.
The much-improved Nuggets, though, could be a tough
nut to crack.
Even All-Star guard Kobe Bryant (27.4 ppg, 5.0 rpg,
4.5 apg, 2.2 spg), 7-foot power forward Pau Gasol (18.5 ppg, 10.8
rpg) and part-time starter Lamar Odom (12.3 ppg, 9.8 rpg) will surely
concede that.
The Lakers need aging point guard Derek Fisher (7.2
ppg, 2.0 apg, .366 FG pct.) to come out of an extended slump and
7-foot center Andrew Bynum (5.6 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 14 mpg) to show the
stuff that is capable of.
Once a playoff also-ran, Denver became a bonafide
NBA title contender following the trade acquisition of cerebral
playmaker Chauncey Billups in early November.
An outstanding facilitator, the 6-3 Billups (22.1
ppg, 7.3 apg) brings stability to the Nuggets’ once helter-skelter
offense and also provides the points himself with his outside shooting.
The 32-year-old Billups, who quarterbacked the Detroit
Pistons to the 2004 NBA championship against Bryant and the Lakers,
also has made better players out of hotshot Carmelo Anthony (27.0
ppg, 6.4 rpg, 4.3 apg, 2.0 spg), super sub J.R. Smith (16.3 ppg)
and Brazilian center Nene (12.5 ppg, 7.3 rpg).
Expect a physical and high-scoring series between
LA and Denver.
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