THE
MORNING AFTER: Whither Thou Go
By Sam Miguel for Philippinebasketball.ph
05/19/2010
For the National Basketball Association, it is so mindboggling
and earthshaking that it has a title, so simple yet so significant:
The Summer of 2010. The best basketball players on the planet
may or may not have different addresses by the fall of 2010.
Their prospective movements will definitely change the NBA
landscape for years to come.
We
talked to a couple of other basketball nuts about how this
free agent market might turn out. Let us take a look at who
these players are and where they might go.
Dirk Nowitzki, 7’0”
255 pounds, Forward-Center: This is a guy who has
spent his entire career with the Dallas Mavericks. He’s been
the face of this franchise for the better part of the last
decade. Unfortunately he has come no closer to winning an
NBA championship. They came so close in 2006, taking a 2-0
lead in the NBA Finals, until the Miami Heat completely upended
them. Nowitzki is one of the most highly skilled players in
the league, and he can do many things 7-footers are not supposed
to be able to do. He can nail the three-ball, fill the lanes
in transition, handle and pass like a player several inches
shorter. But after three Round 1 ousters over the last four
years, his title aspiration might be better served elsewhere.
Decision:
Will most likely stay in Dallas; at age 32 though, might seriously
consider going for a legit title shot for less money, i.e.
the LA Lakers
Chris
Bosh, 6’10” 235 pounds, Forward-Center: In his young
career he has known only the Toronto Raptors, and he’s even
had one or two fights in the Eastern Conference Playoffs with
them. He’s still only in his late 20’s and should be looking
to make more money over and above making a committed and Kobe-obsessive
drive for an NBA championship right here and now. He’d like
to be with a contender, but what player would not? This is
a situation where Bosh could simply strike a deal with whoever
offers the best deal, income-wise. New York might be going
unabashedly all out to land the King, but they have more than
enough cap room to get someone like Bosh as well. That would
be an everybody-wins situation: the Knicks regain respectability
and two kids who want to gain fame and fortune come to the
Big Apple to play on the world’s biggest stage. There is also
the tantalizing prospect of joining a young but talented core
in Chicago where he gets to play with the best pointguard
he will ever play with, Derrick Rose.
Decision: Looks
set to head off to the Big Apple; Chicago however cannot be
counted out of this situation
Dwayne
Wade, 6’4” 215 pounds, Guard: He is thus far the
only member of that heralded rookie draft class of 2003 that
has an NBA championship. He did it by learning to be the leader
on a star-studded team that overcame a 0-2 series deficit
in the NBA Finals of 2006. At a young age, he still wants
to win more titles, bring home more trophies. He cannot get
that done in Miami as it is presently constructed. But with
Pat Riley at the helm, the help he needs can’t be far away.
Perhaps he could persuade Bosh or Nowitzki to join him in
South Beach. The weather is beautiful at least 360 days of
the year. There are celebrities, an international vibe, a
genuinely warm and friendly fan base, and the prospect that
the legendary Riley could return to coaching at any time if
the talent is there. Riley has enough money and the gravitas
to keep Wade and persuade at least one max money free agent
superstar to come to Miami to join Wade in a new title campaign.
Decision:
Will most likely stay in Miami, but if and only if at least
one other top free agent comes over, otherwise it’s off to
someplace with snow in winter
Lebron
James, 6’8” 245 pounds, Forward-Guard: Undoubtedly
the biggest prize in NBA free agency. Ever. In spite of two
horrible ousters from the Eastern Conference Playoffs, no
one would ever dispute that he is indeed the most talented
and most gifted player on the planet. In short, any team that
gets him will become instant contenders. Whether or not he
actually delivers is of little import to whoever gets him.
At the very least that franchise will instantly make more
money, get more press, move more merchandise, like Michael
Jordan did when he came to Chicago. Like many of the other
top free agents mentioned above, James has been with only
one tam – the Cleveland Cavaliers – his entire career. He’s
brought them to the NBA Finals once already, losing to the
savvy and veteran San Antonio Spurs. Perhaps he might never
win an NBA championship if he remains in Ohio. Being a hometown
boy plays a part here as well, and Cleveland can give him
far more money than even the cap space-clearing Knicks and
spend-happy Nets.
Decision:
Still has at least a 50-50 chance of remaining in Cleveland,
would need the deal of the ages to make a big move to either
the Knicks or the Nets
Paul
Pierce, 6’7” 230 pounds, Swingman: Pierce has been
with the proud Boston Celtics his entire career. Even during
their dark ages over the better part of the last 20 years,
Pierce hung in there. There is no reason to think he would
go elsewhere. He is already a 30-something veteran with some
15 years of mileage, and he would surely wish to end his NBA
career where he started it and where he has remained steadfast
and stoic. Heck, he’s right on the endge of winning another
NBA championship right here. Certainly there might be a team
or two out there who might be able to sign someone like Bosh
or James and add him as a “final piece” type of veteran leader.
But given his history, his ties, and his personality, it would
take nothing short of a giant asteroid obliterating the Commonwealth
of Massachusetts to make Pierce leave.
Decision: There
will be offers, many of them quite substantial, nothing however
will move Pierce from Boston
Joe Johnson, 6’7” 230
pounds, Swingman: This is one player who is unlike
the others on this list thus far. He used to be with the Phoenix
Suns; presently he is with the Atlanta Hawks. He can score
in bunches in a hurry, and he has proven he can actually be
the superstar for a team and pull it off. But he’s also failed
to make the Hawks actual contenders for an NBA championship.
Their Round 2 embarrassing sweep at the hands of the Orlando
Magic this season all but certainly points to his leaving.
Could he join the Magic next season? Orlando doesn’t have
that much money to offer. Johnson however is just at that
tricky age in his early 30’s, where the imperative to win
a title might be looming more heavily than retiring with loads
of cash and a half-dozen expensive cars. Unfortunately that
would call for Johnson doing something he has yet to do in
his NBA career: be a genuine team player.
Decision:
Definitely leaving the great state of Georgia, might head
for Florida and the Magic Kingdom.